The local context

Overview of the area

The County of Bedfordshire and Borough of Luton has a central position with good communications by rail and road – much of southern and central England is within a three-hour drive and fast frequent train services mean that London is less than an hour away. Major international airports at Heathrow, Gatwick, Stansted, Luton and Birmingham are all easily accessible.

Below is a map of southern Britain, showing places within a three-hour driving distance of Bedfordshire and Luton; the main road network; and airports.

View larger map and key

Bedfordshire and Luton resilience area

In 1997 Bedfordshire’s largest town, Luton, became a unitary local authority. Overall, Bedfordshire and Luton has a population of about 572,400 and covers an area of 1,274 square kilometres. The area includes several fine market towns including Ampthill, Biggleswade, Woburn and Leighton Buzzard. There are many areas of outstanding natural beauty and attractions which include stately homes and gardens, woodland walks and nature reserves, country parks and world-famous animal parks.

Bedfordshire and Luton has:

Community Colleges and Colleges of Further Education in the main towns provide opportunities for training for adults. Institutes of Higher Education in the County include the world renowned Cranfield Institute, the University of Luton and University of Bedfordshire.

Social factors

Photograph showing Luton airport

We can use some figures from the 2001 census to give a snapshot of the county. Some of the data mentioned below relate to both Bedfordshire County and Luton Borough, though others come from one area only.

Population density
Population density (residents per km2) is 4,279 for Luton, which is the highest for a unitary authority area in the East of England region and the third highest in England after London. In contrast, Bedfordshire has 329 people per square kilometre.

Residents
Luton has an even split of men to women whereas the east of England and national figures reflect slightly more women than men. Age profiles show a higher than average proportion of 0-15 years olds (23.5%), lower than average of 16-74 year olds (71.4%), and lower than average of 75+ (5.1%).

Health
Fewer people in Bedfordshire and Luton feel their health is “not good”, compared to the national average. Local authorities in the area continue to promote healthier living.

Disability

  All claimants Higher rate care claimants
Bedford 4,990 1,190
Luton 6,290 1,550

The table (above) shows the number of Disability Living Allowance claimants for 2003.

Ethnicity
Luton has a high percentage of ethnic minorities (28.1% in total) in comparison to the east of England and national figures. Luton is included in the figures for the whole of Bedfordshire in the 1991 census.

Religion

  All people Christian Buddhist Hindu Jewish Muslim
Luton 184,371 109,973 456 5,025 534 26,963
Bedford 147,911 101,720 355 2,567 180 4,803

Education and qualification
The percentage of people within Luton with no qualifications is higher than the national average and the east of England (31.3%, 29.1% and 27.9% respectively).

Migration
4.2% of all residents have moved into Luton and 4% have moved out. 0.9% of those moving into Luton have come from outside the UK whereas 3.3% have moved from other areas in the UK.

Household composition
Single-person households (including pensioners and lone parents) account for 39.2% of households. In line with national trends these numbers are increasing.

Tenure
Owner-occupier percentages in Luton (70.8%) are lower than the average for the county (75.33%) but higher than the national average (68.9%). The percentage of rented accommodation in Luton is also higher than the county average. Council or housing association property accounts for 16.4% of total houses. This is lower than the national average of 19.1%.

Correspondingly, the proportion of privately rented accommodation in Luton is higher than the County or national averages, at 10.6% as opposed to the east of England percentage of 7.6%, England and Wales of 8.7% and county figures of 9.91%.

Economic position
42.5% of people aged 16-74 are employed full-time in Luton, compared to 42.6% in the East of England and 40.6% in England & Wales. The number of 16-74 year olds not economically active across the county is quite high in comparison to East of England and national figures. However, this includes a high percentage of students at the Universities of Cranfield, University of Bedfordshire and at Barnfield College.

Industry types
There is still a high percentage of employment in manufacturing – 19.0% – particularly in the south of the area. This is 4% higher than the national average and 4.5% higher than the average for the region. However, the picture is changing. Luton Borough is increasingly attracting wholesale and retail trade industries. Pharmaceutical and avionic companies are moving their headquarters to this area. Transport, distribution and logistics are growth areas in Bedford Borough, taking advantage of its location and excellent transport links to the rest of the country, and the number of call centres in the area is also increasing. Mid-Bedfordshire has a significant research and development base.

Population growth

  1991 1996 2001 2016 (estimated)
Bedford 133,692 137,500 144,200 157,900
Mid Beds 109,801 118,900 128,200 146,000
South Beds 108,941 110,900 112,000 128,700
Luton 171,671 181,500 182,800 171,000
Total 524,105 548,800 567,200 603,600

Population growth from 2001 to 2016 is estimated at 6% (see table above). Fast growth is anticipated in Mid and South Bedfordshire. This is mainly accounted for by the large housing development planned for Elstow and the Milton Keynes and South Midlands Development Plan.

Photograph showing Luton airport

The future
A multi-billion pound investment scheme has begun to regenerate the central area of Luton and will go on for several years, starting in 2006. This scheme will affect industry, transport and housing in the inner Luton area. London Luton Airport is submitting proposals for a major expansion to handle 30 million passengers a year by 2030, up from a current 10 million passengers a year. A major widening scheme is under way in two stages on the M1 between the M25 junction and Junction 13, and a widening of the link road to the airport has begun.

From 2001 to 2016, about 2,430 houses a year will be built in Bedfordshire. About 23,500 have already received planning permission and adopted or proposed local plan allocation. Some 4,000 more homes can be built on existing urban areas or identified sites. This leaves about 9,000 homes for which sites have to be found. 6,000 of these will come within the Luton/Dunstable/Houghton Regis urban extension.

Housing requirements in Bedfordshire and Luton

  2001-2016 Annual requirement
Bedford Borough 11,400 760
Mid Beds 11,100 740
South Beds 1,575 825
Luton 1,575 105
Total 36,450 2,430

Age trends
National trends show a larger proportion of people at post-retirement age, and the numbers will increase as people are now expected to live longer. 6.4% of the population are now over 75 as compared to 4.4% in 1981. Fire statistics in the UK show that people over 60 are at a greater risk than anyone else of being killed in a fire.

The population is predicted to increase by 6% in Bedfordshire from 2001-2016. Should the numbers over 75 continue to rise at the same rate (0.1% per year) then the following facts are apparent, the result will be as follows:

Age group Actual numbers Percentage of total population in 2016
60+ 132,000 21.9%
70+ 42,400 7%
80+ 24,100 4%

Vehicle ownership
In Bedfordshire 17.6% of total households do not have a car or van. In Luton this is 26.4%. This is high compared to the East of England (19.8%) and England & Wales (26.8%). Overall Bedfordshire has a relatively high percentage of households with more than one car or van, making Bedfordshire’s roads busy and congested.

Environment

Increase in households

  1996 2001 2016
Bedford 56,900 59,800 70,800
Mid Beds 49,100 52,100 62,700
South Beds 45,800 47,300 59,200
Luton 68,700 69,600 71,100
Total 220,600 228,900 263,800

The area of the County of Bedfordshire is 1,192 square kilometres and the area for the Borough of Luton is 39 square kilometres. The table above shows the increase in the number of households in the districts of Bedfordshire and in the Borough of Luton.

Households are expected to increase by 15% by 2016.

In line with national trends, a continuing fall in the average number of people in a property is expected. This is a result of the increased numbers of retired people (see the age trends on previous page), young adults living singly and single-parent homes. These figures reflect the growth in population of 36,400 projected for 2001-2016, while household growth will be 36,450 for the same period.

Stadia
Concerts and ‘mass gathering events’ are held at Woburn Abbey and various stadiums in Bedford and Luton. There are regular mass gathering events such as the Luton Carnival, Bedford River festival and civic receptions, which attract large numbers of people.

Infrastructure

Roads
The M1 and A1 run through the county. The section of the M1 that passes through the county is one of the busiest sections of motorway in the country, with up to 162,000 vehicles per day travelling south of the M6 junction (data from 2001- 2002).

Road Traffic Statistics for Great Britain: 2003, published by the Department of Transport, confirmed that estimated traffic levels rose by 2.5 per cent between 2001 and 2002. The underlying rate of growth is estimated to be between 1 and 2 per cent per year.

Vehicle traffic
Car traffic levels rose by 2.6 per cent and goods vehicle traffic rose by 0.9 per cent. Two-wheeled motor vehicle traffic rose more than other categories, with motorcycle traffic rising 5.5 per cent.

Road type
Motorway traffic rose by 1.9 per cent. Traffic on minor roads rose by 4 per cent and traffic on all rural road types grew faster in 2002 than on urban roads. The East of England, which includes Bedfordshire County, has the third highest numbers of vehicles passing through per day, after London and the South East.

Rail network
Several rail companies operate in the county – First Capital Connection, WAGN, Silverlink, Virgin, Midland Mainline and all the freight operators. Up to 500 passenger and freight trains pass through the county each day.

Airports
London Luton Airport is the major international airport in Bedfordshire, with about 48,000 scheduled and 11,000 chartered flights per year carrying some 10 million passengers. About 20 million tonnes of freight are transported through London Luton Airport each year. In addition to the airport at Luton, there are airfields at Cranfield, Old Warden, Sandy, Shuttleworth, Meppershall, RAF Henlow and Dunstable Downs. Air movements to these airstrips are mainly by private aircraft and classic plane enthusiasts, with Dunstable Gliding Club based at the Downs.


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